Could Coronavirus Cause as Many Deaths as Cancer in the U.S.? Putting Estimates in Context from the New York Times. By Josh Katz, Margot Sanger-Katz and Kevin QuealyMarch 16, 2020:
Although it’s impossible to say how many Americans will die because of the new coronavirus, under a reasonable set of assumptions the number of fatalities could be high — potentially in the hundreds of thousands or more.
Deaths on that scale are not easy to grasp. To put the estimates in context, we’re comparing the possible toll with other leading causes of death in the United States in 2018, the most recent year with data available. We’ve started with an estimate from a University of Nebraska public health researcher, Dr. James Lawler, that was recently presented to hospital executives: 480,000 American deaths over the course of the illness known as Covid-19.
The article contains graphs and calculators for estimating deaths from COVID-19 based how many people are infected and how many of those infected people will die. Again, here is the link to the article, graphs, and calculator.
